Chapter 4: The Analysis of Foreign Policy

Outcome:

The Prime Minister of Azmenistan agrees to meet with you, but you make very little progress.

He, like his foreign minister, denies any weapons program and claims Azmenistan is only enriching as much as it needs to for a peaceful civilian nuclear energy program.

He says he hopes that an 'unfortunate misunderstanding' does not damage your interstate relations, and refuses to talk any further on the matter.

What do you do now?

Press the issue firmly and directlyDemand that Azmenistan immediately stop enriching uranium, and demand that inspectors be allowed back in immediately. Declare that if these conditions are not met, your state will be forced to move closer to Brezistan diplomatically, and will consider Azmenistan a hostile neighbor rather than an ally.
Threaten military actionsDeclare that if inspectors are not allowed back in and enrichment does not cease within one week, you will invade the country and shut down any enrichment efforts by force.
Coordinate economic sanctionsThe UN is very interested in levying sanctions against Azmenistan, and Brezistan strongly supports the movement. In a joint effort with the UN, agree to stop buying steel and agriculture from Azmenistan and stop selling oil and natural gas to Azmenistan. Replace your steel and agricultural imports by relying more heavily on Brezistan. UN countries will help mitigate the losses of your energy exports.
Start a propaganda campaignIn your country use television ads, newspapers, and radio broadcasts to depict Azmenistan as a bully. Additionally, secretly spread anti-nuclear propaganda to the people of Azmenistan in the hopes that Azmenistan's populace will pressure Azmenistan's government to forego its nuclear program.
Offer economic incentivesTell Azmenistan that if it agrees to stop enriching uranium immediately, you will cut tariffs significantly on all agriculture and steel coming from Azmenistan, and will rely more heavily on Azmenistan and less heavily on Brezistan for agriculture and steel, providing both absolute gains and relative gains with respect to Brezistan for Azmenistan.
Invade AzmenistanYou cannot wait for Azmenistan to acquire a nuclear weapon. You think you may have a conventional military advantage, and you need to eliminate Azmenistan's nuclear program before the development of a weapon eliminates your advantage. Send troops to destroy Azmenistan's enrichment facilities.